Prediction Changed
3:33 PM 29/03/2007

Election Prediction Project
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Carleton-Mississippi Mills
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Hon. Gordon O'Connor

2006 Result:
Gordon O'Connor **
39004
Isabel Metcalfe
16360
Tasha Bridgen
8677
Jake Cole
4544
George Kolaczynski
426
Tracy Parsons
408

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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07 09 12 Nick J Boragina
74.14.16.208
Under the 2000 federal election, redistributed onto the current map, this riding would have been won by the Alliance. Clear indication that the CPC will retake it this time, even with O'Connor as the candidate.
07 08 17 Robert Jones
198.103.249.251
Despite the demotion from defence O'Connor should keep this seat. This riding goes heavily Conservative in every election. Conservative roots are deep here. This riding is home to many members of both the Ontario Landowners association and it's affiliate and more well known group the Lanark Landowners. A very safe conservative seat.
07 04 12 A.S.
74.99.222.209
If I'm not mistaken, if one combined all the A/B-type ‘split polls’, that would make Carleton-Mississippi Mills the only riding in Ontario where CPC won every single poll. Go by that measure...
07 03 29 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
Gordon O'Connor may be a liability to the CPC nationally, but this is a staunch conservative riding and as long as the right is united, it should go nothing but Conservative. Despite being more suburban than rural, it is sort of like Canada's version of Orange County, California, which is near a liberal city, but goes strongly Republican.
07 03 25 G. Kennedy (not that one)
65.95.110.153
O'Connor has turned into somewhat of a liability. But this is possibly the most conservative seat in the province, having voted for Day in 2000. No contest.
07 03 24 Daniel
156.34.66.131
Despite O'Connor's troubles, the Conservatives will easily retake this riding; it was a strong Alliance area during that area, and has been a strong Conservative area ever since.



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