08 02 16	A.S. 99.233.96.153
Re StMoeChamp's next-on-the-Tory-hit-list viability, we must remember: Chretien owned the riding's predecessors largely by scrappily preempting what otherwise might have been predilections t/w the Creditiste/Duplessiste. So perhaps it's all just returning to what otherwise might have been natural form. Oh, and for the record, Herouxville is in this riding.
	07 12 24	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 76.67.136.25
We're retracting our previous prediction from CPC to TCTC. Why is that? Well the most recent poll had the CPC plummet to third place and 17% in Quebec. The reason is largly due to the Bali conference on climate change. The point is that the Quebec elcetorate is VERY volatile and can and will change their mind very quickly towards the CPC. An honest and reliable prediction would have to wait until a date much closer to the election call. None the less, CPC still have a great shot at this riding.
	07 10 29	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 74.13.75.161
Ironic that CB would find calling this one for the CPC odd. It's one of the most logical postings that were recently made. People here didn't vote Liberal in the past, they voted Chretien. He was the PM and with it all sorts of goodies came into the riding. If you live in Quebec, your tax returns go through Shawinigan (plenty of government jobs there). You don't bite the hand that feeds you. Now that the hand has retired, their loyalties went in the same direction as other similar, neighbouring ridings. This is akin to Sherebrooke when Charest made the jump to provincial politics. Well the way things are now, some neighbouring ridings (such as Portneuf)have already shifted towards the CPC (yes we know Arthur is an independant, but he's pseudo CPC) and others still are likely to fall in the upcoming election. Very good chance for a CPC pick up.
	07 10 20	C B 72.38.227.236
I admit that it feels odd predicting a Conservative win in Chretien's riding, but given how ‘small’ the margin of victory was for the Bloc in '06, I would be shocked if anyone but the Tories won. With their current numbers in Quebec (which, again, include Montreal), the Conservatives are surely leading in rural Quebec. If these numbers hold, and there is no reason to believe that they won't right now, this one should be blue on election night.
	07 04 09	Brian Appel 64.230.123.143
I'm going to step up and predict a Conservative grab of Chretien's old riding. It's a rural, working-class riding with a lot of nationalist sentiment, but not so much that Harper's vision wouldn't appease them as well. Plus, the ADQ did pretty good here. At this point, I don't think ‘da boss’ could even win this riding back for the Liberals.
	07 03 30	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 74.12.178.56
With the ADQ gains in the regions during the provincial election, including in this region, isn't it a little presumptuous to be awarding this riding to the BQ so early? Until we are actually in an election and we know for sure who all the players are, many rural Quebec ridings are wild cards and may go CPC.