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Profil de circonscription
candidats:
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Député: |
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Guy André |
2006 Résultats:
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Nous n'aimons pas des films publicitaires non plus, mais quelqu'un doivent payer le loyer.
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 | 08 03 09 |
A.S. 99.233.96.153 |
| If it's a largely rural/exurban seat where the Tories earned 30%+ in 2006, it's in the next tier of Quebec CPC targets--end of story. (Oh, and Berthier is where Marie Grégoire had her historic ADQ byelection victory in 2002--ah, what if she were the Tory candidate now...) |
 | 07 09 19 |
Nick J Boragina 74.13.125.185 |
I’ve noticed this riding does not have any official predictions yet. Let me be the first. CPC. Why? Unless something changes between now and the election – and it could, I’m going to have to place this one in the Conservative column based on Math. I had quite a row with other predictors in the last federal election, when I predicted 10 Tories from Quebec, based on math. They said I was crazy, but on Election day, I was smack on the money. Now I’m calling ridings like this one for the Tories due to the same mathematical equations I used last time. Remember that this is a ‘rural’ riding, and the ADQ recently did very well here. Even with a slight swing from the Bloc to the Tories (in all three recent by-elections the Tories numbers with relation to the Bloc numbers were far up). The math tells me that based on swing forecasting, it would take a 10 point gap (the by-election gap was 4.6) in St.Hyacinthe to make this riding a toss up. |
 | 07 04 07 |
Stéphane Gaudet 70.83.98.126 |
Si les conservateurs devaient faire des gains hors de leur terreau fertile (Capitale nationale, Chaudière-Appalaches), ce serait le genre de comté qui pourrait très bien tomber dans la cagnotte conservatrice: nationaliste sans êtres fortement souverainiste, représenté par l'ADQ à l'Assemblée nationale, rural sans grand centre urbain. Mais c'est trop tôt pour prédire quoi que ce soit. Ça demeure dans le domaine du possible seulement. |
 | 07 03 30 |
C B 216.221.81.97 |
| With the recent Quebec election, there are many ridings in Quebec not previously thought to be in play which have to be considered. It is evident that there is a large available constituency for the Tories and ridings such as this could very well fall to them in a majority situation. |
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