La prévision a changé
11:36 AM 05/04/2007

Projet D'Élection Prévision
www.electionprediction.com

Berthier-Maskinongé
élection générale (Canada) - 2007



Profil de circonscription

candidats:
TBA

Député:
Guy André

2006 Résultats:
Guy André **
26191
Marie-Claude Godue
16958
Serge Lafrenière
5605
Anne-Marie Aubert
3319
Nathalie Gratton
1925

prévision/résultats historiques
06 prévision /04 résultats
04 prévision /00 résultats




Nous n'aimons pas des films publicitaires non plus, mais quelqu'un doivent payer le loyer.
Remplacez-l'avec votre annonce de campagne ! Voir les détails de patronage

08 03 09 A.S.
99.233.96.153
If it's a largely rural/exurban seat where the Tories earned 30%+ in 2006, it's in the next tier of Quebec CPC targets--end of story. (Oh, and Berthier is where Marie Grégoire had her historic ADQ byelection victory in 2002--ah, what if she were the Tory candidate now...)
07 09 19 Nick J Boragina
74.13.125.185
I’ve noticed this riding does not have any official predictions yet. Let me be the first. CPC. Why?
Unless something changes between now and the election – and it could, I’m going to have to place this one in the Conservative column based on Math. I had quite a row with other predictors in the last federal election, when I predicted 10 Tories from Quebec, based on math. They said I was crazy, but on Election day, I was smack on the money. Now I’m calling ridings like this one for the Tories due to the same mathematical equations I used last time. Remember that this is a ‘rural’ riding, and the ADQ recently did very well here. Even with a slight swing from the Bloc to the Tories (in all three recent by-elections the Tories numbers with relation to the Bloc numbers were far up). The math tells me that based on swing forecasting, it would take a 10 point gap (the by-election gap was 4.6) in St.Hyacinthe to make this riding a toss up.
07 04 07 Stéphane Gaudet
70.83.98.126
Si les conservateurs devaient faire des gains hors de leur terreau fertile (Capitale nationale, Chaudière-Appalaches), ce serait le genre de comté qui pourrait très bien tomber dans la cagnotte conservatrice: nationaliste sans êtres fortement souverainiste, représenté par l'ADQ à l'Assemblée nationale, rural sans grand centre urbain.
Mais c'est trop tôt pour prédire quoi que ce soit. Ça demeure dans le domaine du possible seulement.
07 03 30 C B
216.221.81.97
With the recent Quebec election, there are many ridings in Quebec not previously thought to be in play which have to be considered. It is evident that there is a large available constituency for the Tories and ridings such as this could very well fall to them in a majority situation.



Soumettez l'information ici

Actualité provinciale
2006 - élection générale
Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
© Milton Chan, 1999-2007 - Email Webmaster