Prediction Changed
3:15 PM 27/10/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Random-Burin-St. George's
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Bill Matthews

2006 Result:
Bill Matthews **
13652
Cynthia Downey
12232
Amanda Will
3702
Mark Brennan
426

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




Put your political/campaign ad here! See sponsorship details.

08 02 09 A.S.
99.233.96.153
With only a fragment of the publicity 2004's NDP Great White Newfie Hope Des McGrath got, '06's Tories shrunk Bill Matthews' winning margin considerably. But even if Cynthia Downey ran again, she'd have had little chance of scoring a finishing-unfinished-business open-seat pickup a la Chatham-Kent Essex, Lambton-Kent-Middlesex, etc. Darned Danny Williams--for all we know, maybe the NDP's gonna sleepwalk back into second place to the Liberals...
07 10 01 Nick J Boragina
74.14.23.192
I’m going to have to agree with our nameless predictor, and say that with the CPC expected to lose seats in Newfoundland, that it’s not really logical to have them listed as being competitive in a seat they don’t hold. We’ve seen swings in Newfoundland before that run counter to the National trend. A party can gain in every province – but lose in Newfoundland. Harper is possibly headed for the same fate. Liberal in this part of the world is a party, not a party leader – that means the faults of Dion will not mean as much here. The Liberals will be able to win here again without much of a problem, incumbent MP or not.
07 09 23
209.202.78.177
With the Liberals at 50% in Atlantic Canada in the most recent poll, it's crazy for this to be in the TCTC category. The Tories will be lucky to hold on to the seats that they already have.
07 09 16 Socred
209.128.25.85
This riding could be a conservative switch even with Danny Williams not supporting them. The biggest problem here is that there is no organization on the ground for I asked for a membership in the Conservative party and still never heard back a month later. This is discouraging to Conservative voters like myself and I predict if they the Conservative don't step up to the plate that again we will be stuck with a Liberal in a Conservative riding.
07 06 07 binriso
156.34.223.78
Forget expanding, the Conservatives will be lucky to hold on to what seats they have in the Atlantic region especially in NFLD and NS.
07 04 03 RF
74.120.155.163
This riding for now is too close to call. Bill Matthews today announced that he was retiring, meaning this is a wide open race. The chances for a CPC pickup, and thusly the Conservatives taking the majority of the seats in the province from under Danny Williams nose will fill Stephen Harper with glee - they'll get someone who is high profile to run, and focus many resources here.
Please do not overestimate Danny Williams.
07 03 24 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
After the budget and Danny Williams promising to campaign against the Conservatives, I think they are toast in this riding. Matthews should win by a more comfortable margin this time around. I don't believe they will necessarily lose all three seats in Newfoundland & Labrador, but all their efforts will be on holding them not trying to pick up new ones.
07 03 24 td
24.138.130.38
With the announcement today that Cynthia Downey will not be running for the CPC, I see this seat going to the Liberals again, there are a few names out there for the Liberals and while Mister Harper may be getting a majority nationally I don't see him getting any seats here in NL because of his bad budget to NL this week.



Submit Information here

Provincial Index
Federal Election - 2007
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Milton Chan, 1999-2007 - Email Webmaster