Update/Mise à jour:
4:54 PM 12/01/2006

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
11:54 PM 05/05/2005
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Scarborough Centre

Federal Election - 2006 - élection générale

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John Cannis
Roxanne James
Dorothy Laxton
Andrew Strachan

John Cannis

2004 Result/Résultats:
John Cannis
John Mihtis
Greg Gogan
Greg Bonser
Dorothy Sauras

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page

Authorized by the Official Agent for Dorothy Laxton

11 01 06 Not Non-Partisan
Funny, postings on this site around Christmas time sloughed off the amazing sign campaigning that Roxanne James has going. The explanation at the time was that the others, especially Cannis, were holding off until after the holidays.
Well the holidays have come and gone and Roxanne is still a mile ahead in signage. In fact the Tories appear to be surprisingly strong in all the east end seats south of the 401. Is it possible that Roxanne, Pauline and Vincent(wow)are headed to Ottawa?
03 01 06 M. Lunn
This will not go Conservative. As for the sign war, many candidates are putting up their signs until January 3rd so that means nothing. Roxanne James is a member of the far-right DefendMarriage Canada so not exactly the type of Conservative to win in Toronto. John Cannis already is probably right wing enough for this riding. Secondly despite the Tory gains at least for now, they are so far behind in Toronto that they would need to be about 10-15 points ahead in Ontario as a whole before they have any realistic shot at winning seats in Toronto. This will stay Liberal in a landslide.
01 01 06 Paul Christie
Who is Roxanne James and why does she have all those signs. It really is amazing to drive the main streets -- Warden, Brimley, etc. and see how well she is doing.
Do signs vote? Maybe not -- but the sign on the Greek church at Warden and Ellesmere certainly means something.
Maybe Cannis is just too dull.
26 12 05 MH
A major political shift in Toronto could put this seat back in the Conservative camp, where it was in 1979-80 and from 1984 to 1993 (Scarborough Centre was created in 1976). But the Tory win in 1988 was by a mere 381 votes, and John Cannis has won by large margins in 1993, 1997, 2000, and 2004. With four weeks to go in the election, and a shift to the Conservatives in the Toronto area so far failing to materialize, Mr Cannis seems about as safe as all but a few Liberals in Ontario.
16 12 05 J2Phillips
Having been involved with Scarborough politics for a number of years, I have too say that John Cannis should win with even bigger numbers than last election.
The one party that has taken a step back and will help the Liberals take Scarborough Centre once again - is the NDP.
They have nominated a girl who doesn't even know anything about politics, and the only reason she was nominated was because certain people didn't like the other candidate's friend that was helping him. The NDP in Scarborough Centre are a group that don't know how to win a election, they don't even communicate with their membership, and when asked they said they don't care about their own membership!!
Also, far as the Conservatives go, I haven't heard much about their candidate and do we really want too!!
Liberals & Cannis in what will be their biggest win yet!!
03 12 05 A.S.
Were one to apply today's demographics to yesteryear's political dynamics, Scarborough Centre would probably have joined the likes of Yorks Centre/South-Weston/West in sticking by the John Turner Grits in 1984. That's as good a reason as any in explaining why a Blue Grit nonentity like John Cannis is likely to stay put--leaving Tories and Dippers battling it out for second, rather than for the seat itself...
01 05 05 Miles Lunn
Scarborough is a middle class type area that will sometimes elect moderate Conservative parties and maybe more hardline ones if they stick to solely fiscal issues i.e. Mike Harris, but won't elect a hardline fiscal AND social conservative party. Besides all five Scarborough MPs opposed gay Marriage. At least John Cannis won't have to deal with the redneck nut Darrel Stinson this time around since he is retiring.

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