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Calgary West

Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
9:29 AM 6/23/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
4:42 PM 18/03/2004

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Rob Anders
Canadian Action canadienne:
James Kohut
Tim Patterson
Green Party/Parti Vert:
Danielle Roberts
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Justin Thompson
André Vachon

Population 2001
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs

Incumbents/Les députés:
Calgary Centre (7.1%)
Rt. Hon Joe Clark
Calgary West (90.4%)
Rob Anders
Macleod (2.5%)
Hon. Grant Hill

2000 Result/Résultats:
25,431 53.43%
11,139 23.40%
8,400 17.65%
1,601 3.36%
1,022 2.15%

Calgary Centre
(17/263 polls, 5380/100814 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

Calgary West
(173/261 polls, 68338/98988 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

(3/178 polls, 1888/70056 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

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22/06/04 Anonymous
Email: [hidden]
This isn't a lock for the Tories yet. Rob Anders has been taking a lot of criticism in the riding during the debates for his comments on Mandela, and his stance on education. At the Varsity Debate last night, he said that one way to cut spending was through cutting Foreign Aid. His inability to fully answer yes/no questions on two-tier health care and justify his Nelson Mandela comments had the crowd against him. The Canadian Action Party Candidate made good points against him by showing the lack of "official government business" shown on his mail-outs, on official government stationary.
While he is the most polished and professional of all of the candidates, he is not the best candidate for the riding. Voters of Calgary West will be left choosing between the party and the individual candidate.
22/06/04 Robert
Email: [hidden]
I attended a Calgary West candidates' debate last night in Varsity Acres. It was surprising to see so much anger directed at Rob Anders, from many different sources: U of Calgary students, seniors, parents, etc. I think the defining factor in this riding is if the other parties can get the word out of "You haven't been well-represnted in this riding by Rob Anders." Justin Thompson of the Liberal party has co-opted the Conservative slogan and has brochures saying, "Demand better? We are." If Anders does end up winning, it will be because people will just vote Conservative automatically, and not because of any love for Anders. I think it will be a close decision.
20/06/04 Full Name
Email: [hidden]
Anyone who thinks this riding will go anything but conservative is naive. 3 reasons.
1) It has never strayed from voting conservative since it became a riding.
2) The former PC vote will be going to Rob, not as a vote for him but as a vote against the liberals.
3) Rob seems to always have the ability to one up himself. He is a campaigner, even if you dont like his policies etc you must give him credit for his ability to campaign like a daemon and get his support out
20/06/04 Gervis
Email: [hidden]
Hard to believe, given the way Paul Martin is frittering away the national campaign, but we could see a stunner in Calgary West come election day. I'm [this] close to calling Calgary West for Justin Thompson and the Libs.
A lot of Conservatives dislike Rob Anders (worried about his views discrediting the party) and yet he keeps winning the nomination over strong Conservative opponents. Given that it looks more and more like a PC majority, local Cons might forgo this riding to rid themselves of a 'problem.' A lot of non-Conservatives dislike Rob Anders (think he is a bad MP, think his views are too extreme). Might they be motivated to vote in droves this time? The 'vote out anders' website seems to be generating a lot of buzz.
If the previous poster is right about Thompson belonging to the right-wing of the Liberal party, then we could see another Calgary Centre, circa 2000 (ie. Clark beating Lowther). Keep an eye on this one.
15/06/04 B W
Email: [hidden]
There are a few things of interest in the riding of Calgary West... First, even conservatives in Calgary West are not voting for Anders. He does not represent the population of Calgary West. (As a resident of Calgary West, I can tell you that I don't believe that Nelson Mandela is a communist or a terrorist or that university students should not be allowed to federal grants for summer jobs. He does not represent my views.) Secondly, there is a group called "Concerned Citizen for Calgary West" that have set up a website. (This could have an effect.) Thirdly, the demographic of Calgary West has changed signifiantly since the last election. This demographic is quite undecided and weighing their options. Watch this riding on election night... It could turn up a big surprise, despite what Dustin might think. It really is a riding to watch, Justin Thompson just might make it.
12/06/04 F. Gillespie
Email: [hidden]
Unfortunately, many voters in Calgary West will feel they have to face the reality of Canadian politics at the ballot box the election. Do they ignore Anders appalling record (lack of record?) and vote for the only party which would address the concerns of western alienation? Or do they protest against Mr. Anders wedge-style politics and strategically vote for Justin Thompson whose platform looks more like a conservative one than a liberal one (ie: triple-e senate). A frustration vote for the NDP or Green or CAP parties will only help Rob Anders. Calgary West Conservatives will hold their noses and vote for Anders, then pray for a another nomination race when a minority government inevitably falls.
03/06/04 Bear and Ape
Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com
D. Smyth makes some excellent points about how lackluster (to say the least) Rob Anders is. The problem with this assessment is the Liberal victory. In 1997 and 2000, when it was good to be a Liberal, the Grits lost this riding to not one, but two right wing parties. This not a good year to be a Liberal. Actually it's a very bad year to be a Liberal. And this is Calgary! It's almost unfathomable to predict a Liberal win in a Calgary riding when things are good for them, let alone when it's bad. Had these candidates been in Edmonton, we'd say the Grits had a fighting chance, but the sad truth is in Calgary a useless Conservative MP will get re-elected over a decent Liberal candidate.
03/06/04 N.N.
Email: [hidden]
Not ready to declare a change, but a couple of young people are running a pressure campaign at voteoutanders.com. Since lauching 48 hours ago, they have registered 50,000 hits, and claim that many are from people who had no idea what a spotty record this MP has had. If this thing gets wings, we may see the unthinkable, and a Conservative seat be in jeopardy in Calgary.
02/06/04 Dustin
Email: [hidden]
I would just like to thank D. Smyth for the easy laughs.
How out of touch can one person be?
Anders won the nomination for the Reform Party in 97 against 7 other candidate and then handily took out star candidate and curent mayor Dave Bronconnier, then in the 2000 nomination he defeated sitting MLA Jocelyn Burgener in the nomination and former MP Silye and former MLA Bruseker.
At least the Liberals smartened up by not wasting a good candidate on Cal West or by giving it any support. Of course Thompson who has absolutely no name recognition is returning the favour by not even displaying the Liberal logo on his signs or campaign office. What has he got to hide? Does he not want Calgarians to know he's a liberal.
Say what you will about Rob Anders but he sure knows how to win. And he will continue winning. No contest.
28/05/04 D. Smyth
Email: [hidden]

Rob Anders is easily one of the least-popular politicians in Canada today. He's been an incompetent MP (twice voted most embarassing in Canada by the CAJ, I believe) and done very little short of collect a paycheque. He seems to delight in upsetting people; to be confrontational and take absurd stands simply for the joy of debate. Anyone at the Varsity CPC nomination meeting had to notice the animosity (AKA: seething hatred) between Alison Redford and Anders. Redford isn't alone; many Conservatives are working as hard as Anders' opponents to see him lose his seat, if for no other reason to embarass the party, force the Conservatives to run someone competent in this riding next time around. This could (should?) be an easy riding for the CPC, but Anders is far from the sure thing the party needs. Surely, someone like Jim Prentice would win this riding with triple the votes of his nearest competitor.
My guess: A lot of Jim Silye and so-called 'red-Tory' support will go to Justin Thompson, or these same people just won't vote. This bodes badly for Anders, as his support will suffer anyhow with the loss of Killarney, et cetera, to SouthCentre. There won't be much support for the NDs in this riding (unlike in SouthCentre or the NE), so it really is a two-horse race between Anders and Thompson (sorry, Green Party; condolences, Marxist-Leninists). Thompson seems like the strongest Liberal candidate in Calgary (no coincidence the Libs ran him against Anders); he's young and well-spoken, and that's what it's going to take to get the attention needed to beat Anders. Not someone like Frank Bruseker, who seemed totally out of touch, and not Silye, who gave voters no reason to pick him over Anders (did he really want to get back into politics? Didn't seem like it).
It's Anders campaign to lose, and my guess is... he will. Calgary will elect its first Liberal in a long, long time, and the Conservatives will heed the wakeup call and purge the party of Anders (just as they did Ezra Levant, Jim Pankiw and Larry Spencer). Maybe Harper will desert SouthWest and return to his roots in 2008, to take the seat back from the Libs?...
26/03/04 MOB
Email: [hidden]
Although he is perhaps one of the most hopeless Conservative MPs in the country, Anders will have no problem winning this seat.
23/03/04 Craig Pichach
Email: craig.pichach@megworley.com
Calgary West is THE Canadian Conservative capital of the country.
Having been the Canadian Alliance youth coordinator for this riding in the 2000 election I think it's safe to say that the Conservative party will take this one no problem.
Last go around the threat was Jim Silye (PC candidate) who did terrible alone... just imagine how bad the Liberals will do.
17/03/04 Nick Boragina
Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com
Rob Anders is popular in Calgary, and will be re-elected
17/03/04 RWA
Email: radams2@uwo.ca
If the Liberals bring in every single 2000 PC vote, they still fall 6,000 short. SHould be an easy hold for Anders.

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