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Scarborough-Rouge River
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
5:10 PM 6/11/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
7:56 PM 18/03/2004

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Tony Backhurst
Raymond Cho
Green Party/Parti Vert:
Kathryn Holloway
Fauzia Khan
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Derek Lee

Population 2001
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs

Incumbents/Les députés:
Scarborough-Rouge River (100.0%)
Derek Lee

2000 Result/Résultats:
25,675 80.17%
2,727 8.52%
2,053 6.41%
1,569 4.90%
0 0.00%

Scarborough-Rouge River
(150/174 polls, 64864/72054 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

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09/06/04 Graydon
Email: [hidden]
Reymond Cho has about as much of a chance at winning as a liberal in Calgary. Raymond could have had a solid shot at taking the riding provincially as a Liberal after Curling retires and instead alienated every Liberal frieind he has to take a stab at Derek Lee.
This riding votes Liberal overwhelmingly. Derek Lee doesn't even need to track his vote for e-day since almost 80% of the riding votes Liberal. Scarbourough Rouge-River has the highest proportion of immigrants in the GTA and Cho does not have the individual name recognition ouside of Malvern or even a party brand to help him win.
The only way Cho could conceivably make a run would be with the endorsement of City Councillor Bas Balkision, and I'm pretty sure they don't like each other. Cho has ruined any shot, and he had a good one, of ever making it in provincial or federal politics.
Derek Lee in another walk.
07/06/04 W. Lambert
Email: wlambert@sympatico.ca
This may be the biggest vote shift in Toronto. Derek Lee won this riding in a walk last time with a very large margin of victory, but independant candidate Raymond Cho was not in the race. Cho is hugely popular in the riding. Even though he got a bit of a late start in this campaign he will win it with tons of grass roots support from all of his friends. This is a very safe place for disaffected Liberals to park thier votes. With the parties fortunes freefalling Raymonds timing is impeccable. Cho is a small "l" liberal anyway who may be persuaded to join the Libs. after he wins this one. A very interesting race to watch.
06/06/04 MSH
Email: [hidden]
Since this riding came into existence, after the 1984 general election, it has always returned a Liberal. Among the Toronto-area ridings, this one is about as close to a Liberal slam dunk as it gets. Neither the Tories nor the NDP seem likely to interfere.
12/05/04 A.S.
Email: adma@interlog.com
Though it may be more Galganov than Nunziata, there *is* a situation of sorts happening here: the rumour that councillor Raymond Cho (who ran for the NDP against Lee in '88, but has since shifted t/w the centre) might run as an independent. Another symbolically important point: Cho represents the troubled Malvern neighbourhood, which went for Miller for mayor in '03--if he wanted to rejoin forces with the NDP *under Jack Layton*, there's some outside-outside opportunity here, *possibly*. But not terribly likely, as it stands right now.
17/03/04 Nick Boragina
Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com
Second only to Mount Royal Quebec, this riding votes Liberal in massive numbers. I cant see any situation that would cause the Liberals to lose here

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