pq-Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie

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Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
6:38 PM 03/05/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
2:03 PM 21/03/2004

Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription

Candidates/candidats:
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N.D.P./N.P.D.:
Benoît Beauchamp

Bloc Québécois:
Bernard Bigras

Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Christian Bolduc

Green Party/Parti Vert:
François Chevalier

Communist:
Kenneth Higham

Conservatives/Conservateurs:
Michel Sauvé

Population 2001
populations 103,458

Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs 82161

Incumbents/Les députés:

Rosemont-Petite-Patrie (100.0%)
Bernard Bigras

2000 Result/Résultats:

Redistributed

23,025 49.29%

15,690 33.58%

1,983 4.24%

1,476 3.16%

OTHERS 4,544 9.73%

Rosemont-Petite-Patrie
(218/218 polls, 82161/82161 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

15690
23025
1338
1401
1983
OTHER 3281

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	01/05/04	Victor A. Email: pokojpeacepaix@yahoo.ca
Among the 4 BQ ridings on the island of Mtl ( total is 20 ) this one is in my opinion not nearly as vulnerable as la Pointe de Île, which could go to Grits even this time around if Francine Lalonde wasn't running, but your argumentation is well thought because Rosemont almost failed to the PLQ in the last provincial election, it was very close, but if I had to bet BQ will retain their 3 seats on the island, this time around, but their chance to win any new seat on the island is 0%.
	29/04/04	Vadeboncoeur Email: [hidden]
On paper the most vulnerable of the Bloc seats on the island, but the current political climate renders a Liberal pickup unlikel. Even if the recent Leger poll is correct and the Liberals are on a bit of a rebound in Quebec, it is highly unlikely - short of a Bloc meltdown - for this seat to switch this time out. I don't think the Bloc is likely to gain much in the way of new ground on the island, but they won't lose any of their current four MPs either.
	23/04/04	Victor A. Email: [hidden]
Looking at this riding one can comment that it looks like an excellent mish-mash of different neighborhoods, most of them typically francophone, as if it was created as a gift for the Bloc, because these area hardly forms one defined entity. This is a poor, urban riding, high unemployment or not in the labor force %-age of people, rather low number of people with university diplom too, this area is represented provincially by PQ's Rita Dionne-Marsolais but she struggled in the recent election against a PLQ candidate. Bernard Bigras certainly does not have Rita's popularity nor her likeability. He is a week MP who contributed little to the debate and has been week as an environment critic. She is popular in some BQ youth circles though and is a hardline separatist, so despite him being the weakest and that by far of 4 BQ MPs, he still should win, but if PQ was in power on the provincial level Bigras would be in hot water, so he'll be safe this time around but next time, I would not think so.
	08/04/04	Martin Doiron Email: mdoiron79@hotmail.com
Bernard Bigras is well known in this riding and will not have any problems winning Rosemont-Pëtite-Patrie. He will be able to obtain more than 50% of the votes since there is no real opposition against him. His work for envirommental issues and the fact that he is a well known progressive candidate will give him the support of lots of people that would vote for NDP. Easy win for the Bloc.
	19/03/04	[hidden] Email: [hidden]
Bernad Bigras has shown some key leadership on enviromental issues and on appealing youth to the Bloc Québécois. He will surely win this riding with more than 50% of the vote.

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