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St.Croix-Belleisle
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale
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Update/Mise à jour: 12:14 AM 6/15/2004 
Prediction Changed La prévision a changé 6:01 PM 14/03/2004 |
Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription
Candidates/candidats:
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Liberal Party/Parti libéral: Jim Dunlap | ||||||
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Green Party/Parti Vert: Erik Millett | ||||||
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Canadian Action canadienne: David Szemerda | ||||||
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Conservatives/Conservateurs: Greg Thompson | ||||||
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N.D.P./N.P.D.: Patrick Webber | ||||||
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Incumbents/Les députés: | |||||||
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Fundy-Royal (14.7%) John Herron | ||||||
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New Brunswick Southwest (85.3%) Greg Thompson | ||||||
2000 Result/Résultats:
| Redistributed | ||
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14,900 | 46.23% |
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9,107 | 28.26% |
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6,869 | 21.31% |
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1,353 | 4.20% |
| 0 | 0.00% | |
Fundy-Royal (31/195 polls, 7033/55106 voters) 2000 Prediction/Complete Results | ||
| 1428 | |
| 1331 | |
| 271 | |
| 1922 | |
| 0 | ||
New Brunswick Southwest (135/149 polls, 40817/45336 voters) 2000 Prediction/Complete Results | ||
| 7679 | |
| 5538 | |
| 1082 | |
| 12978 | |
| 0 | ||
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10/06/04 | C. Hubley Email: [hidden] | |
| Conservative incumbent win. Herron's shift will have little effect given Elsie Wayne's endorsement. In Atlantic Canada it counts to have the endorsement of the outgoing (and much-loved) incumbent. | |||
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26/04/04 | RP. Email: [hidden] | |
| I live in this riding most of the year. There were constant PC meetings up at the high school, with very high turnout. Greg Thompson seems to be a competent MP, don't think he'll be defeated any time soon. | |||
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17/03/04 | Bear and Ape Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com | |
| Back in the '93 obliteration of the PC's this was almost the third riding to stay with the Tory's. Highly unlikely that it'll go red with the Liberals in the worst shape thay have been in over a decade. | |||
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16/03/04 | Nick Boragina Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com | |
| The Alliance only finished 1,200 votes behind the Liberal in the re-distributed riding, and the MP is a PC incumbant, so there will be less loss of red tory votes going Liberal. This riding should easily go Conservative. | |||
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27/02/04 | Patrick Webber Email: | |
| Greg Thompson is probably the safest Conservative MP in New Brunswick. He may be the only successful Conservative in New Brunswick on election night. He only narrowly lost his seat in 1993 during the PC death spasm, meaning that he should be secure even if Harper offends the rest of the Maritimes and even if the Liberals field a strong candidate. The only question is what his margin of victory will be. | |||
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