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Ontario Provincial Election 2003
York Centre
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Last Update: 3:50 PM 26/09/2003 
Prediction Changed: 20 October 2002 |
Political Profile:
Candidates:
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Liberal Party: Monte Kwinter |
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Progressive Conservative: Daniel Cullen |
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New Democratic Party: Matthew Norrish |
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Green Party: Constantine Kritsonis |
Incumbent: | |
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Monte Kwinter |
Federal MP: | |
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Hon. Art Eggleton |
1999 Result:
1999 Prediction
| Plurality | 12058 | |
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*MONTE KWINTER | |
| 21250 | 61.09% | |
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ROBERT HAUSMAN | |
| 9192 | 26.43% | |
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NORM JESIN | |
| 3721 | 10.7% | |
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ANGUS HUNT | |
| 621 | 1.79% | |
2000 Federal Result: 2000 Prediction | ||
| Plurality | 20 173 | |
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Art Eggleton | |
| 24 788 | 71.1% | |
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Jeffrey Dorfman | |
| 4 615 | 13.2% | |
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Mark Tweyman | |
| 2 518 | 7.2% | |
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Maurice Coulter | |
| 2 109 | 6% | |
Demographic Profile:
| Population | |
| 2001 | 107055 |
| 1996 | 107370 |
| 1991 | 103889 |
(1996 census) Age | |
| 0-19 | 25290 |
| 20-39 | 33640 |
| 40-59 | 24750 |
| 60+ | 23700 |
Avg Household Income | $50226 |
| Labour Participation | 59.60% |
| Unemployment | 11.60% |
Canadian Citizen | 80.74% |
| Canadian Born | 42.95% |
| Ontario Born | 37.31% |
| Immigrant | 55.45% |
| Visible Minority | 26.72% |
| Aboriginal | 0.30% |
First Language | |
| English | 44755 |
| French | 905 |
| Italian | 15195 |
| Russian | 8245 |
| Spanish | 4880 |
| Yiddish | 2935 |
| Pilipino | 2690 |
| Polish | 2515 |
Residence | |
| House | 43.75% |
| Apartment | 56.09% |
| Owned | 44.19% |
| Rented | 55.81% |
| Avg Dwelling Value | $241019 |
Education | |
| University | 22465 |
| College/Trade School | 20745 |
| Secondary | 29625 |
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25/09/03 | The Big Ape Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com | |
| A PC win?!?! Good Lord People! What are you thinking?! Last election the Liberals got 61% to the PC's 26%. I'm no mathematician but thats a HUGE difference. This time the Liberals are way ahead in the polls and poised to form a large majority government. A single issue is not going to shift that many voters AWAY from the party thats going to form a NEW government, especially in an urban riding. Unless something Earth-shatering happens over the next week, this riding will stay Liberal, again with a 60% + majority. | |||
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21/09/03 | Gerry Kennedy Email: | |
| DJE-R should get together with 'diversity' in York West. What an outlandish idea! 'Nuff Said. | |||
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20/09/03 | FGH Email: | |
| Monte Kwinter voted with Progressive Conservatives for the equal education tax credit(the only thing he has done for the people of york centre for the last 10 years) but if the Liberals form the next government they have already said they will kill it and there is nothing Monte can do about it.That is why Dan Cullen will take this riding in a close vote. | |||
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10/09/03 | DJE-R Email: | |
| I think that a large percent of the population of York Centre will be voting based on the Fair Funding Issue. Unfortunately for Monte Kwinter, although he himself has voted for Fair Funding, his party is against it. This may be his downfall this election. | |||
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09/06/03 | Craig Email: | |
| Just like York West, this is a Liberal stronghold, with the Tories collapsing and the NDP not making serious gains here. As a result, a Liberal romp, among the most lopsided results in Ontario. Predicted results: LIB 70%, NDP 12%, PC 12%, Green 4%. | |||
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16/05/03 | J.S. Email: unclejoesayshello@yahoo.co.uk | |
| This is a Grit stronghold. Kwinter got 61% in a bad year for the Grits, and as this will almost certainly be a good year for them... | |||
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05/03/03 | Andy Email: andyk8123@hotmail.com | |
| No doubt it will remain Liberal, Kwinter won by over 12,000 votes and now with the Liberals doing better in Toronto that number should increase. I cannot even remember once when this riding went to any other party other then Liberal provincially or federally in my life. This has to be one of the safest Liberal ridings in the province and in this election. | |||
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19/10/02 | A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com | |
| Monte these days seems so much a Peterson-era relic, it's hard to imagine him still holding office--though in the polyglot turf that's York Centre, he or any Grit, provincially or federally, can stay there as long as they want (or until the Liberal riding association decides differently). One statistical oddity through 1999's riding reconfiguration; Downsview, which should have been just about the best turf for the Grits vis-a-vis the Tories, was instead just about the worst, thanks to its being unfamiliar ground to Kwinter, to ethnic politics ("Roberto" Hausman carried more cachet for Latin homeowners), and maybe the reflected glory of spurned Grit-turned-Tory-turncoat Annamarie Castrilli. But Kwinter still won handily, even there... | |||
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