Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Sheffield, Heeley

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Meg Munn
Conservative Party:
Carolyn Abbott
Liberal Democratic Party:
David G. Willis
Green Party:
Robert Unwin

Incumbent:
Bill Michie

97 Result:
Bill Michie
26,27460.7%
John Harthman
6,76715.6%
Roger Davison
9,19621.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,26664.96%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
28,00555.7%
13,05125.9%
9,24718.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,30370.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.2%
16-2412.5%
25-3920.5%
40-6526.3%
65 <23.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.6%
Black1.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.5%
Other non-white0.7%

Employment:
Full Time58.1%
Part Time17.9%
Self Employed8.2%
Government Schemes2.1%
Unemployed13.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.5%
II - Managerial/Technical23.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.4%
IV - Partly Skilled18.2%
V - Unskilled5.9%

Misc:
Own Residence52.1%
Rent Residence46.9%
Own Car(s)50.4%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
With a massive 15,000 majority, it would be a bit of a shock if Labour didn't hold Sheffield Heeley this time. However it will be interesting to see what happens to the Lib Dems and the Tories. The Tories were in a reasonable second position in 1992 but crashed to third in 1997. Since then, things have not really picked up for them at local elections. The Lib Dems, meanwhile, have been pretty successful, winning control of Sheffield Ciy Council, and it will be interesting to see whether they manage to consolidate their good second-placing last time (their vote actually increased here in 1997 - fairly rare in an inner city seat where they didn't do that badly in 1992).

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Last Updated 24 April 2001
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