Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Leeds North East

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Fabian Hamilton
Conservative Party:
Owain Rhys
Liberal Democratic Party:
Jonathan M. Brown
UK Independence Party:
Peter Rogers
Independent:
Celia Foote

Incumbent:
Fabian Hamilton

97 Result:
Fabian Hamilton
22,36849.2%
Timothy Kirkhope
15,40933.9%
Bill Winlow
6,31813.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,50972.03%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
18,21836.8%
22,46245.4%
8,27416.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,50076.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.8%
16-2411.5%
25-3921.9%
40-6525.3%
65 <20.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White84.7%
Black5.6%
Indian/Pakistani7.2%
Other non-white2.5%

Employment:
Full Time60.9%
Part Time15.9%
Self Employed13.0%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed8.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional11.8%
II - Managerial/Technical38.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)18.4%
IV - Partly Skilled11.2%
V - Unskilled3.1%

Misc:
Own Residence69.8%
Rent Residence29.1%
Own Car(s)65.5%
Submissions
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30/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Not as Labour-to-the-bone as the name "Fabian Hamilton" might suggest, Leeds NE actually has a long Tory history which gradually flickered into marginality before its decisive demise in '97. Demographic change makes this but a lower-midlevel Tory target today, even if it's the Leeds seat inflecting (geographically, that is) most Hagueward...

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Last Updated 2 April 2001
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