Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Leeds Central

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Hon. Hilary J.W. Benn
Conservative Party:
Victoria Richmond
Liberal Democratic Party:
Socialist Alliance:
Steven Johnston

Incumbent:
Hilary Benn

97 Result:
Derek Fatchett
25,76669.6%
Edward Wild
5,07713.7%
David Freeman
4,16411.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
37,00954.70%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
29,27363.7%
10,28122.4%
6,41614.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,97062.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.1%
16-2415.4%
25-3922.5%
40-6522.7%
65 <18.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White91.6%
Black2.3%
Indian/Pakistani4.0%
Other non-white2.1%

Employment:
Full Time61.1%
Part Time14.3%
Self Employed6.1%
Government Schemes2.1%
Unemployed16.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.1%
II - Managerial/Technical17.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.1%
IV - Partly Skilled19.1%
V - Unskilled9.4%

Misc:
Own Residence38.0%
Rent Residence60.3%
Own Car(s)37.2%
Submissions
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24/04/01 NG Email:nickgraham99@hotmail.com
With a massive 20,000 majority and a slightly less comfortable win in the 1999 by-election, Leeds Central is unlikely to be anything but a Labour hold. However, the by-election did produce one shock. Building on their local success and the general trend towards them in the Northern cities, the Lib Dems tripled their vote, albeit on a record low turnout. It will be interesting to see whether they can capitalise on this and make some kind of impact here in Leeds at this election ... however, the fact that the Lib Dems have so far failed to select a candidate here does not bode particularly well.

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Last Updated 24 April 2001
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