Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Alan A. Johnson
Conservative Party:
John Sharp
Liberal Democratic Party:
Angela Wastling
UK Independence Party:
John Cornforth

Incumbent:
Alan Johnson

97 Result:
Alan Johnson
22,52058.7%
Cormach Moore
6,93318.1%
Bob Tress
6,99518.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
38,35458.25%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,25151.6%
13,63430.3%
7,83717.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,05767.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.7%
16-2413.4%
25-3922.4%
40-6524.5%
65 <21.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.6%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time59.2%
Part Time17.3%
Self Employed7.1%
Government Schemes1.9%
Unemployed14.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.3%
II - Managerial/Technical20.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)32.4%
IV - Partly Skilled16.7%
V - Unskilled7.2%

Misc:
Own Residence52.6%
Rent Residence46.0%
Own Car(s)48.8%
Submissions
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03/05/01 Initials Email:
Whilst it would be a surprise if Labour lost Hull West and Hessle, it will be interesting to see what happens to the Lib Dem vote. The Lib Dems have made huge gains in Hull recently, and in the most recent local elections the Lib Dems were just 124 votes behind Labour in the constituency. The Conservatives have not a single local councillor in the area and we can expect their vote to drop even further back from their 1997 result.

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Last Updated 3 May 2001
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