Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Great Grimsby

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Austin V. Mitchell
Conservative Party:
James Cousins
Liberal Democratic Party:
Andrew De Freitas

Incumbent:
Austin Mitchell

97 Result:
Austin Mitchell
25,76559.8%
Dean Godson
9,52122.1%
Andrew de Freitas
7,81018.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,09666.26%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,89751.0%
18,39136.2%
6,47512.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,76374.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.7%
16-2413.1%
25-3921.7%
40-6524.5%
65 <18.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.0%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time56.3%
Part Time20.5%
Self Employed7.7%
Government Schemes1.9%
Unemployed13.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.2%
II - Managerial/Technical21.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.6%
IV - Partly Skilled23.9%
V - Unskilled7.2%

Misc:
Own Residence70.9%
Rent Residence28.2%
Own Car(s)56.2%
Submissions
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24/04/01 JR Email:
One night in 1977 there were two byelections. One, the relatively marginal Grimsby, was expected to go Tory. Safe Labour mining seat Ashfield was set to stay with Labour. Except it didn't work out that way - Austin Mitchell won Grimsby, but the 23000 Labour margin in Ashfield was wiped out. Mitchell is an independent minded MP with a high media profile, though he's never been near ministerial office. Grimsby is a fishing town, and fishermen, as an industry in chronic decline, seem to have it in for whatever government is in power. Nevertheless, Mitchell will win here for Labour without a doubt.

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Last Updated 25 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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