Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Don Valley

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Caroline L. Flint
Conservative Party:
James Browne
Liberal Democratic Party:
Philip A. Smith
UK Independence Party:
David Cooper

Incumbent:
Caroline Flint

97 Result:
Caroline Flint
25,37658.3%
Clare Gledhill
10,71724.6%
Paul Johnston
4,2389.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,55766.35%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
26,04650.6%
18,92736.8%
5,71811.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,49478.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.3%
16-2412.7%
25-3921.7%
40-6527.9%
65 <16.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time60.1%
Part Time16.6%
Self Employed9.7%
Government Schemes2.3%
Unemployed11.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.7%
II - Managerial/Technical28.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.2%
IV - Partly Skilled14.9%
V - Unskilled4.8%

Misc:
Own Residence70.4%
Rent Residence27.2%
Own Car(s)67.3%
Submissions
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17/05/01 NG Email:
A comfortable 15,000 majority, Labour should be pretty safe here, barring a major electoral upset in Yorkshire.

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Last Updated 17 MAy 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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