Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Vale of Glamorgan

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
John W.P. Smith
Conservative Party:
Lady Susan Inkin
Liberal Democratic Party:
Dewi Smith
Plaid Cymru:
Christopher P. Franks
UK Independence Party:
Niall Warry

Incumbent:
John Smith

97 Result:
John Smith
29,05453.9%
Walter Sweeney
18,52234.4%
Suzanne Campbell
4,9459.2%
Melanie Corp
13932.58%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,91480.21%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
24,18844.3%
24,20744.3%
5,0429.2%
1,1592.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,59681.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.8%
16-2412.5%
25-3921.2%
40-6527.0%
65 <17.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.7%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time62.5%
Part Time16.2%
Self Employed11.1%
Government Schemes1.4%
Unemployed8.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.6%
II - Managerial/Technical32.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.6%
IV - Partly Skilled11.2%
V - Unskilled3.2%

Misc:
Own Residence75.3%
Rent Residence21.7%
Own Car(s)74.2%
Submissions
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21/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
Labour will win here but with a much reduced majority. In the Assembly elections in 1999 Labour's Jane Hutt (now Health Minister in the Welsh 'Government') scraped past the Tories by less than 1000 votes. Labour lost control of Vale of Glamorgan Council after (among other things) a furore about the Council Leader's misuse of the Council Credit Card. Also the Tories had a very good result in a council byelection here a few weeks back.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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