Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Dai Havard
Conservative Party:
Richard Cuming
Liberal Democratic Party:
Keith Rogers
Plaid Cymru:
Robert Hughes

Incumbent:
Ted Rowlands

97 Result:
Ted Rowlands
30,01276.7%
Jonathan Morgan
2,5086.4%
Duncan Anstey
2,9267.5%
Alan Cox
23445.99%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
39,14169.27%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
31,71071.6%
4,90411.1%
4,99711.3%
2,7046.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
44,31575.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.9%
16-2412.8%
25-3920.4%
40-6526.0%
65 <18.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time60.4%
Part Time14.0%
Self Employed7.6%
Government Schemes2.3%
Unemployed15.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.8%
II - Managerial/Technical18.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)31.5%
IV - Partly Skilled18.6%
V - Unskilled10.2%

Misc:
Own Residence62.7%
Rent Residence36.0%
Own Car(s)55.6%
Submissions
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10/05/01 J.F. Breton Email:
A very safe seat for Labour, with more than 70% of the vote after redistribution. It will be an easy win.
31/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Also helping: while PC was dramatically conquering or marginalizing other Welsh Valley seats in 1999's Assembly vote, it still fell a gaping 17 points short of Labour here...

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Last Updated 31 May 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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