Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Delyn

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
David G. Hanson
Conservative Party:
Paul Brierley
Liberal Democratic Party:
Tudor Jones
Plaid Cymru:

Incumbent:
David Hanson

97 Result:
David Hanson
22,30056.1%
Karen Lumley
10,60726.7%
Phil Lloyd
4,16010.5%
Ashley Drake
15583.92%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
39,74274.02%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,60646.9%
17,42839.6%
4,82211.0%
1,1162.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,97280.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.7%
16-2412.7%
25-3920.3%
40-6528.7%
65 <17.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.6%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time63.9%
Part Time15.5%
Self Employed11.8%
Government Schemes1.5%
Unemployed7.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.6%
II - Managerial/Technical29.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)10.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.8%
IV - Partly Skilled15.5%
V - Unskilled5.9%

Misc:
Own Residence76.0%
Rent Residence22.5%
Own Car(s)75.6%
Submissions
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24/04/01 JR Email:
This seat was created in 1983, and won by Keith Raffan for the Tories. Raffan was a Tory moderate who quit in 1992 and later returned to his native Scotland where he is now a Liberal Democrat MSP. In 1992 David Hanson won for Labour and held on last time with a predictably increased majority. This is a socially middling seat, not too heavy at either end of the social scale. If the Tories looked like winning a general election they could well be in with a chance, but expect no change this time.

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Last Updated 25 April 2001
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