Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Nicholas R. Ainger
 Conservative Party:
Colin Schrader
 Liberal Democratic Party:
William Jeremy
Plaid Cymru:
Llyr H. Griffiths
 UK Independence Party:
Dai Rees

Incumbent:
 Nick Ainger

97 Result:
 Nicholas Ainger
20,95649.1%
 Owen Williams
11,33526.6%
 Keith Evans
3,5168.2%
 Roy Llewellyn
540212.67%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
42,64176.52%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
16,58838.5%
15,27835.5%
4,67210.9%
6,49715.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,03577.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.8%
16-2411.7%
25-3918.5%
40-6528.2%
65 <21.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.4%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time50.8%
Part Time15.0%
Self Employed21.6%
Government Schemes2.4%
Unemployed10.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.2%
II - Managerial/Technical33.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.4%
IV - Partly Skilled13.5%
V - Unskilled5.4%

Misc:
Own Residence70.8%
Rent Residence26.8%
Own Car(s)74.9%
Submissions
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28/05/01 J.F. Breton Email:
With 49% in the last election, very good polls for Labour, all the problems with Tories, I think it will be an easy win for Labour.
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Last Updated 28 May 2001
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