Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Caerphilly

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Wayne A. David
Conservative Party:
David Simmons
Liberal Democratic Party:
Robert Roffe
Plaid Cymru:
Lindsay G. Whittle

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Ronald Davies

97 Result:
Ron Davies
30,69767.8%
Rhodri Harris
4,85810.7%
Tony Ferguson
3,7248.2%
Lindsay Whittle
43839.68%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,26970.05%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
31,71363.7%
9,04118.1%
4,2478.5%
4,8219.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,82276.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1623.0%
16-2412.7%
25-3921.8%
40-6526.8%
65 <15.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.2%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time62.2%
Part Time14.7%
Self Employed8.4%
Government Schemes1.8%
Unemployed12.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.8%
II - Managerial/Technical23.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)33.7%
IV - Partly Skilled15.9%
V - Unskilled5.7%

Misc:
Own Residence72.0%
Rent Residence27.1%
Own Car(s)64.1%
Submissions
Submit Information here

17/05/01 gw Email:
This seat is a cast iron Labour certainty where the preverbial donkey could get elected with a red ribbon. Look for Plaid to come through into second place on the tails of their new socialist manifesto and disullusionment with the status quo.

Submit Information here
Back to Wales Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 17 May 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster