Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Blaenau Gwent

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Llewellyn T. Smith
Conservative Party:
Huw Williams
Liberal Democratic Party:
Ed Townsend
Plaid Cymru:
Adam Rykala

Incumbent:
Llew Smith

97 Result:
Llew Smith
31,49379.5%
Margrit Williams
2,6076.6%
Geraldine Layton
3,4588.7%
Jim Criddle
20725.23%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
39,63072.32%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
34,33379.0%
4,2669.8%
2,7746.4%
2,0994.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,47277.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.5%
16-2412.9%
25-3920.0%
40-6526.5%
65 <20.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.5%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time63.7%
Part Time13.9%
Self Employed6.7%
Government Schemes2.5%
Unemployed13.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional2.6%
II - Managerial/Technical17.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)9.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)35.9%
IV - Partly Skilled20.3%
V - Unskilled9.2%

Misc:
Own Residence61.1%
Rent Residence37.9%
Own Car(s)56.9%
Submissions
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24/04/01 JR Email:
Llew Smith is an irreconcilable Labour left-winger whose hero Aneurin Bevan ,father of the National Health Service who like Smith was born and bred here and was the local MP. That did not stop him colluding with the Tories by campaigning for a NO vote in the devolution referendum in 1997. Smith became almost a hate figure for many Labour activists, who were delighted when Blaenau Gwent produced a big YES vote on referendum night. Nevertheless he will hold this seat which was also held by former Labour leader Michael Foot from 1962 to 1992. There is a genetic hatred of the Tories in the Welsh Valleys.

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Last Updated 25 April 2001
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