Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Tiverton and Honiton

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Isabel Owen
Conservative Party:
Angela F. Browning
Liberal Democratic Party:
James W. Barnard
Green Party:
Matthew Burgess
UK Independence Party:
Alan Langmaid

Incumbent:
Mrs Angela Browning

97 Result:
John King
7,59812.8%
Angela Browning
24,43841.3%
Jim Barnard
22,78538.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,12978.06%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
6,52411.0%
30,53651.3%
18,87231.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,55481.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.4%
16-2411.3%
25-3919.1%
40-6528.0%
65 <22.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.6%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.0%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time54.2%
Part Time17.3%
Self Employed21.8%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed5.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.0%
II - Managerial/Technical37.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.9%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.9%
IV - Partly Skilled12.8%
V - Unskilled3.3%

Misc:
Own Residence72.0%
Rent Residence24.9%
Own Car(s)80.4%
Submissions
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18/04/01 NG Email:
Tiverton and Honiton was one of those South West seats that the Lib Dems narrowly missed out on in the 1997 General Election. Since then, local and European elections haven't been all that encouraging and with such a small Labour vote to squeeze (just 12% - only rising 1% on 1992), the Lib Dems will do well to wrestle this seat from the Tories on election night. With such a close result in 1997, however, the Lib Dems chances cannot to be written off. Tiverton and Honiton Tories may still be in for a bit of a shock on June 7th.
29/04/01 CM Email:
Likely Tory hold here. There's not much Labour vote left to squeeze, and the Lib Dems did very poorly in the Euro elections in this seat. Their big chance was in 1997....can't see them taking the seat this time.
22/05/01 Alastair Matlock Email:
Angela Browning is an accompished and respected MP and the results of the 97 poll in this constituency are an abberation due to the Labour sweep. She will win comfortably here this time around. As an earlier correspondent has said, the LibDems had their chance here in 1997, but failed.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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