Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Plymouth, Sutton

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Linda W. Gilroy
Conservative Party:
Oliver Colvile
Liberal Democratic Party:
Alan Connett
UK Independence Party:
Anthony Daw

Incumbent:
Mrs Linda Gilroy

97 Result:
Linda Gilroy
23,88150.1%
Andrew Crisp
14,44130.3%
Steve Melia
6,61313.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,65267.43%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,98939.8%
22,04941.8%
8,67316.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,78779.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.2%
16-2414.9%
25-3922.6%
40-6524.1%
65 <21.2%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.8%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time58.8%
Part Time14.4%
Self Employed10.0%
Government Schemes2.4%
Unemployed14.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.1%
II - Managerial/Technical23.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.5%
IV - Partly Skilled14.7%
V - Unskilled6.0%

Misc:
Own Residence59.2%
Rent Residence39.1%
Own Car(s)57.6%
Submissions
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13/05/01 Sean Fear Email:fear_sean@hotmail.com
In view of the size of their lead, Labour should hold on here. However, the Tories won a sweeping victory in last years Plymouth City Council elections and may just pull it off.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Redistribution really helped Labour in Plymouth, by hiving off most of the super-affluent parts so solid-Tory SW Devon--thus creating here a now super-red double-seat "borough pocket", one of two (with Exeter) in otherwise Tory blue vs. LD yellow Devon. Yeah, Devon; tricolour is good...

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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