Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
North Dorset

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Mark Wareham
Conservative Party:
Robert J. Walter
Liberal Democratic Party:
Emily J. Gasson
UK Independence Party:
Peter Jenkins

Incumbent:
Robert Walter

97 Result:
John Fitzmaurice
5,38010.2%
Robert Walter
23,29444.3%
Paula Yates
20,54839.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,58776.30%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
3,1956.0%
29,85556.5%
19,78437.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,83481.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.9%
16-2410.9%
25-3918.7%
40-6527.9%
65 <23.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.5%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time57.4%
Part Time16.9%
Self Employed19.7%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed5.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.8%
II - Managerial/Technical36.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.1%
IV - Partly Skilled14.4%
V - Unskilled2.8%

Misc:
Own Residence72.8%
Rent Residence21.9%
Own Car(s)82.4%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
This seat is too close to call, and is contest between LibDems and Conservatives. Labour is not a factor in this seat. I would give the advantage to the Conservatives because they currently hold it, but still too close to call.
20/05/01 KJ Email:
Despite the poor showing of the Tories in recent national opinion polls and generally strong support for the Liberal Democrats in this part of the country, there was strong support for the Referendum Party in 1997 in this constituency and we can expect many of these voters to vote Conservative this time. There simply isn't enough Labour vote left to squeeze here, so it looks likely that Robert Walter will keep his seat.
06/06/01 Email:dadge@hotmail.com
Not the likeliest seat to fall to the Lib Dems, I agree. But seeing as Billy Bragg has turned Dorset into the world centre of tactical voting...

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Last Updated 7 June 2001
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