Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Forest of Dean

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Diana M. Organ
Conservative Party:
Mark Harper
Liberal Democratic Party:
David R. Gayler
UK Independence Party:
John Hopkins

Incumbent:
Mrs Diana Organ

97 Result:
Diana Organ
24,20348.2%
Paul Marland
17,86035.6%
Anthony Lynch
6,16512.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,18479.07%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
22,17642.4%
21,44441.0%
8,42216.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,24683.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.5%
16-2412.1%
25-3919.7%
40-6529.1%
65 <19.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.6%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time60.4%
Part Time15.5%
Self Employed16.1%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed6.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.2%
II - Managerial/Technical31.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)9.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)31.0%
IV - Partly Skilled13.4%
V - Unskilled4.7%

Misc:
Own Residence75.4%
Rent Residence22.3%
Own Car(s)79.6%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
Labour benefited here from a slip in Conservatives popularity in 1997. The current government has only improve their support in ridings such as this. The Conservative may not be able to count on winning back their previous supporters, giving this one to Labour.
20/05/01 Mike Snyder Email:mikesnydersea@juno.com
Labour win continues tradition begun in Coupon Election of 1918. Forest of Dean is a famous seat in British parliamentary history, once held by Charles Dilke, a Liberal highflyer on Gladstone's front bench until his political career was derailed by his (perhaps innocent)involvement in one of the juiciest sex scandals of late Victorian England. The current incumbent, new Labour loyalist Diana Organ, is less notorius but nearly as high-profile.

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Last Updated 20 May 2001
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