Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Exeter

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Benjamin P.J. Bradshaw
Conservative Party:
Anne M. Jobson
Liberal Democratic Party:
Richard A.A. Copus
Green Party:
Paul Edwards
UK Independence Party:
John Stuart
Socialist Alliance:
Frances Choules

Incumbent:
Ben Bradshaw

97 Result:
Ben Bradshaw
29,39847.5%
Adrian Rogers
17,69328.6%
Dennis Brewer
11,14818.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
61,86478.16%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
22,62936.2%
25,69341.1%
12,12919.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
62,44481.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.7%
16-2413.5%
25-3922.2%
40-6525.5%
65 <20.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.6%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time61.8%
Part Time18.4%
Self Employed10.8%
Government Schemes1.6%
Unemployed7.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.3%
II - Managerial/Technical27.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)18.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.0%
IV - Partly Skilled12.1%
V - Unskilled5.8%

Misc:
Own Residence67.8%
Rent Residence31.0%
Own Car(s)67.4%
Submissions
Submit Information here

01/05/01 JR Email:
Exeter attracted a lot of media attention last time. Labour's Ben Bradshaw (who is openly gay) squared up against Adrian Rogers, head of an organisation called the Conservative Christian Fellowship. Rogers tried to use American religious right techniques which - hearteningly - blew up in his face. Bradshaw won on an above average swing and stacked up a 12000 majority in a seat that Labour had only ever won once before (1966-1970). Rogers isn't standing again - he proved too extreme even for William Hague's Tory Party. Bradshaw is well positioned to defend the seat, which was one of the very, very few places where Labour made gains in the disastrous May 2000 local elections. Exeter is in Devon and its tourist industry has felt the pinch from foot-and-mouth, but Bradshaw has kept a good profile during the crisis, even getting his colleagues from around the country to come and spend a day in Exeter to show support for local tourism! Another solid Labour victory predicted here.

Submit Information here
Back to South West Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 1 May 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster