Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Bristol North West

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Dr. J. Douglas Naysmith
Conservative Party:
Charles Hansard
Liberal Democratic Party:
Peter L. Tyzack

Incumbent:
Dr Douglas Naysmith

97 Result:
Douglas Naysmith
27,57549.9%
Michael Stern
16,19329.3%
Ian Perry
7,26313.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,24573.65%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
27,01945.2%
23,14838.8%
8,84914.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,71981.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.8%
16-2412.3%
25-3922.3%
40-6525.3%
65 <19.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.1%
Black1.3%
Indian/Pakistani0.7%
Other non-white0.9%

Employment:
Full Time65.3%
Part Time17.3%
Self Employed7.1%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed9.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.8%
II - Managerial/Technical23.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.9%
IV - Partly Skilled16.0%
V - Unskilled6.2%

Misc:
Own Residence63.8%
Rent Residence35.1%
Own Car(s)69.7%
Submissions
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12/05/01 N Starling Email:
If this is a three way marginal, then I am the queen ! An easy Labour hold !
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
It was one heck of a Tory marginal in 1992--by only 45 votes--but then redistribution tipped it dramatically Labourward, which didn't dissuade MP Michael Stern from his suicide run in a Stern-Naysmith rematch. Another Bristol stomp for Labour.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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