Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Woking

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Sabir Hussain
Conservative Party:
Humfrey J. Malins
Liberal Democratic Party:
Alan R. Hilliar
UK Independence Party:
Michael Harvey

Incumbent:
Humfrey Malins

97 Result:
Catherine Hanson
10,69521.0%
Humphrey Malins
19,55338.4%
Philip Goldenberg
13,87527.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,91472.68%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
7,39813.4%
32,71859.1%
14,98727.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,36079.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.5%
16-2413.2%
25-3923.7%
40-6526.4%
65 <16.2%

Ethnic Origin:
White94.9%
Black0.5%
Indian/Pakistani3.2%
Other non-white1.4%

Employment:
Full Time68.4%
Part Time14.4%
Self Employed11.6%
Government Schemes0.5%
Unemployed5.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional12.3%
II - Managerial/Technical39.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)18.2%
IV - Partly Skilled8.6%
V - Unskilled2.7%

Misc:
Own Residence76.2%
Rent Residence20.8%
Own Car(s)81.2%
Submissions
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14/05/01 LB Email:
Woking saw the third worst drop in the Conservative vote between 1992 and 1997 (only the very unusual seats of North Down and Tatton had worse collapses) but Humfrey Malins (MP for Croydon NW 1983-92) won anyway with 38.4% of the vote. Part of the reason for the collapse was a dissident Tory candidate who polled 7.7% (and the Referendum Party and UKIP got 5.3% more between them). Neither Liberal Democrats nor Labour seem willing to concede their centres of support, and Malins has a pool of right wing voters disaffected in 1997 to fish in.

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Last Updated 17 May 2001
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