Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Spelthorne

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Andrew Shaw
Conservative Party:
David Wilshire
Liberal Democratic Party:
Martin Rimmer
UK Independence Party:
Richard Squire

Incumbent:
David Wilshire

97 Result:
Keith Dibble
19,83338.2%
David Wilshire
23,30644.9%
Edward Glynn
6,82113.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,91773.58%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
12,78422.9%
32,62758.5%
9,20216.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,72686.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.3%
16-2412.5%
25-3923.2%
40-6529.1%
65 <17.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.6%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani1.8%
Other non-white1.2%

Employment:
Full Time70.1%
Part Time13.8%
Self Employed10.4%
Government Schemes0.4%
Unemployed5.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.0%
II - Managerial/Technical35.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)18.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.8%
IV - Partly Skilled9.0%
V - Unskilled3.9%

Misc:
Own Residence79.9%
Rent Residence18.5%
Own Car(s)82.5%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
This is another seat to close to call. It should be an interesting one to watch on election night.
22/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Of all the things the woebegone Conservatives didn't need: as the '97 result indicates, a genuine Labour target in Surrey. This may be because Spelthorne is really more Middlesexian than Surreyan, with strong reverb from London's heavily Labour "Heathrow constituencies". Thus, a Labour pickup in Spelthorne might not be as surprising as it ought to be--but if it happens, watch the Tories moan and grumble at what's been happening...

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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