Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
South West Surrey

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Martin Whelton
 Conservative Party:
Rt. Hon. Virginia H.B.M. Bottomley
 Liberal Democratic Party:
Simon R. Cordon
 UK Independence Party:
Timothy Clark

Incumbent:
 Rt Hon Virginia Bottomley

97 Result:
 Margaret Leicester
5,3339.4%
 Virginia Bottomley
25,16544.6%
 Neil Sherlock
22,47139.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,45878.03%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
3,8406.4%
35,00858.5%
20,03333.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,83682.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.8%
16-2411.8%
25-3919.7%
40-6529.0%
65 <20.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.6%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.7%

Employment:
Full Time62.0%
Part Time16.7%
Self Employed15.4%
Government Schemes0.5%
Unemployed5.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional12.6%
II - Managerial/Technical44.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)10.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)18.9%
IV - Partly Skilled9.2%
V - Unskilled3.1%

Misc:
Own Residence75.2%
Rent Residence22.1%
Own Car(s)81.4%
Submissions
Submit Information here
27/04/01 NMF Email:
South West Surrey saw a huge swing to the Lib Dems in 1997 and they have been campaigning hard ever since. A top target for the party, they have an active and hard-working prospective candidate in Simon Cordon and have been particulalrly astute in targeting Labour voters with the message that they need to switch to defeat the Tories.
 29/04/01 CM Email:
Can't see the Lib Dems taking this one. The Labour vote has already been squeezed almost out of existence, and the Libs would have to take more than half of what's left....which by definition will be the real hard core Labour voters. If it stayed Tory in 97, it more than likely will in 2001.
 22/05/01 Alastair Matlock Email:
I'm puzzled as to why is is rated too close to call between Conservative and LibDem. Virginia Bottomley, a former Tory Minister, wasn't considered endangered, even in 1997. There is no prospect for her defeat this year either.
05/06/01 Email:dadge@hotmail.com
It's looking like a 1% swing nationally from Con to LD, putting this seat definitely at risk. And from what I've heard the Con-LD swing is even stronger around London.
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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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