Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Sittingbourne and Sheppey

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Derek M. Wyatt
Conservative Party:
Adrian H. Lee
Liberal Democratic Party:
Elvie Lowe
UK Independence Party:
Robert Oakley

Incumbent:
Derek Wyatt

97 Result:
Derek Wyatt
18,72340.6%
Roger Moate
16,79436.4%
Roger Truelove
8,44718.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
46,16272.30%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
12,10623.9%
24,66948.8%
13,54126.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,55277.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.9%
16-2413.0%
25-3921.4%
40-6527.1%
65 <16.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.9%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time62.6%
Part Time14.5%
Self Employed11.9%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed9.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.4%
II - Managerial/Technical25.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)34.8%
IV - Partly Skilled15.0%
V - Unskilled6.1%

Misc:
Own Residence75.8%
Rent Residence22.8%
Own Car(s)72.9%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
Based on previous election results, this seat is too close to call. Labour won this seat by a little more than 4% of the vote. The Conservatives won this seat in 1992 by a large number of votes. The Tories probably lost this vote as a protest against their previous government. They should be able to regain some lost support, but is it enough? To Early to tell.
20/05/01 Daniel Hamilton Email:daniel@hamiltonholdings.co.uk
Derek Wyatt, the Labour MP since 1997 has worked very hard for the local community and has maintained a very high profile locally and nationally. Adrian Lee, the Conservative candidate, despite being highly competant, is fairly young and has not made a great impression on the local community. We cannot yet write off Lee's chances of winning as the Labour majority is only 2000. I would say the chances are 50:50 here.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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