Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Isle of Wight

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Deborah I. Gardiner
Conservative Party:
Andrew J. Turner
Liberal Democratic Party:
Dr. Peter Brand
Green Party:
Paul Scivier
UK Independence Party:
David Lott

Incumbent:
Dr Peter Brand

97 Result:
Deborah Gardiner
9,64613.2%
Barry Field
24,86834.0%
Peter Brand
31,27442.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
73,15971.95%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
4,7846.0%
38,16347.9%
36,33645.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
79,63378.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.9%
16-2410.7%
25-3917.6%
40-6527.4%
65 <26.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time53.7%
Part Time17.8%
Self Employed16.9%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed10.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.0%
II - Managerial/Technical29.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.5%
IV - Partly Skilled17.1%
V - Unskilled5.4%

Misc:
Own Residence79.0%
Rent Residence19.6%
Own Car(s)70.4%
Submissions
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19/04/01 NG Email:
Dr Peter Brand should be reasonably safe here on the Isle of Wight as long as he is able to squeeze the already small Labour vote and build on his reputation as a reasonably attentive local MP. He is still vulnerable to a Tory revival but the Lib Dems' long-term presence should isolate him this time round at least.

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Last Updated 19 April 2001
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