Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Hove

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Ivor K. Caplin
Conservative Party:
Jennifer Langston
Liberal Democratic Party:
Harold De Souza
Green Party:
Anthea Ballam
UK Independence Party:
Richard K. Franklin
Socialist Alliance:
Andrew Richards

Incumbent:
Ivor Caplin

97 Result:
Ivor Caplin
21,45844.6%
Robert Guy
17,49936.4%
Paul Elgood
4,6459.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,12169.72%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
12,25724.5%
24,52549.0%
9,70919.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,08972.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1615.2%
16-2411.2%
25-3922.6%
40-6523.6%
65 <27.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.8%
Black0.5%
Indian/Pakistani1.0%
Other non-white1.7%

Employment:
Full Time60.4%
Part Time13.9%
Self Employed15.0%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed9.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.9%
II - Managerial/Technical35.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)20.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)21.8%
IV - Partly Skilled9.1%
V - Unskilled4.0%

Misc:
Own Residence68.9%
Rent Residence29.8%
Own Car(s)59.3%
Submissions
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08/05/01 JR Email:
Ivor Caplin secured a huge swing in 1997 to score one of Labour's most surprising gains in a seat previously held by Tory trade minister Timothy Sainsbury, a member of the Sainsbury's supermarket dynasty. However, don't count on this one going straight back into the Tory column. Caplin has strong local roots and a high profile, and Labour held Brighton and Hove Council surprisingly easily in May 1999.

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Last Updated 9 May 2001
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