Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Hastings and Rye

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Michael J. Foster
Conservative Party:
Mark Coote
Liberal Democratic Party:
Graem Peters
UK Independence Party:
Alan Comber

Incumbent:
Michael Jabez Foster

97 Result:
Michael Foster
16,86734.4%
Jacqui Lait
14,30729.2%
Monroe Palmer
13,71728.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,06969.71%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
8,45815.7%
25,57347.6%
18,93935.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,77873.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.1%
16-2411.7%
25-3919.9%
40-6525.1%
65 <24.2%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.4%
Black0.5%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time56.0%
Part Time16.2%
Self Employed15.9%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed10.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.4%
II - Managerial/Technical30.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.7%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)28.5%
IV - Partly Skilled13.4%
V - Unskilled5.1%

Misc:
Own Residence69.2%
Rent Residence29.5%
Own Car(s)63.7%
Submissions
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21/04/01 NG Email:
Hatsings and Rye will be another exciting and unpredictable three-way contest this time round. Labour won with just 34% in 1997 and will be relying on Lib Dem switchers to retain power. Labour has a strong record locally and held control of Hastings Council in 2000. In 1992, the Lib Dems were second-placed challengers and they could pick up the odd disgruntled Labour/Tory voter but it is not clear whether that will be enough this time. Equally the Tories, despite a reasonably good showing in the Euros, remain a marginal force locally and just 1% ahead of the Lib Dems, they could risk seeing Hastings & Rye go the way of Birmingham Yardley. A three-way marginal where even the ultimate winner may be surprised to win!

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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