Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Edinburgh North and Leith

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Mark J. Lazarowicz
Conservative Party:
Iain G. Mitchell
Liberal Democratic Party:
Sebastian Tombs
Scottish Nationalist Party:
Kaukab Stewart
Scottish Socialist Party:
Catriona Grant

Incumbent:
Malcolm Chisholm

97 Result:
Malcolm Chisholm
19,20946.9%
Ewen Stewart
7,31217.9%
Hilary Campbell
5,33513.0%
Anne Dana
823120.10%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
40,94566.45%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
15,01934.9%
10,68524.8%
5,03811.7%
8,74920.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,02071.4%

Demographic Profile:

Employment:
Unemployed10.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.1%
II - Managerial/Technical30.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)25.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)15.9%
IV - Partly Skilled11.6%
V - Unskilled6.3%

Misc:
Own Residence63.9%
Rent Residence36.1%
Submissions
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10/05/01 John Fisher Email:johnf@epcc.ed.ac.uk
I live in this constituency. The majority for Labour last time was large, and I can't see that anything has changed to such an extent that such a large majority could be wiped out. The only question is the size of the turnout, and the possibility that SNP voters might be more motivated to vote than Labour voters. While I would expect this to be the case, I still don't see that the effect would be enough to wipe out the Labour majority. Small datum: I myself voted Labour last time, but this time I probably will vote LibDem or SNP.

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Last Updated 11 May 2001
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