Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Hyndburn

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Gregory J. Pope
Conservative Party:
Peter Britcliffe
Liberal Democratic Party:
William L. Greene

Incumbent:
Greg Pope

97 Result:
Greg Pope
26,83155.6%
Peter Britcliffe
15,38331.9%
Les Jones
4,1418.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,27272.26%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
26,02646.8%
23,99543.2%
5,3149.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,55483.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.9%
16-2412.8%
25-3921.0%
40-6525.8%
65 <18.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White93.9%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani5.3%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time65.6%
Part Time14.2%
Self Employed10.8%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed8.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.9%
II - Managerial/Technical25.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)33.9%
IV - Partly Skilled16.9%
V - Unskilled5.7%

Misc:
Own Residence78.2%
Rent Residence20.9%
Own Car(s)63.7%
Submissions
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22/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
This one is too close to call. The Tories won a landslide victory last year to take control of Hyndburn borough (the town of Accrington and surrounding areas), even though only four years before they had held only three seats on the council. East Lancashire has seen a lot of job losses, particularly in the textile industry. Labour are concerned and are treating it as a vital marginal, one of very few seats they won in 1992 to get the 'key seat' treatment.
28/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
East Lancashire in its entirety spend the Thatcher-Major years as a warp and weft of Tory-Labour marginal fine fabric. Which means, as a consequence, that it's likely to do better than the national Labour average, local Tory victories or no. But as routine preemptive action (and just that), I can see why Labour would bolster their resources in Hyndburn, Rossendale & Darwen, etc......

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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