Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Blackpool North and Fleetwood

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Jovanka Humble
Conservative Party:
Alan Vincent
Liberal Democratic Party:
Steven Bate

Incumbent:
Mrs Joan Humble

97 Result:
Joan Humble
28,05152.2%
Harold Elletson
19,10535.5%
Beverley Hill
4,6008.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,74871.67%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
22,56237.6%
29,83849.8%
7,16712.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,95480.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1616.9%
16-2411.2%
25-3917.9%
40-6527.4%
65 <26.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time58.2%
Part Time16.6%
Self Employed14.5%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed9.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.5%
II - Managerial/Technical27.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)27.9%
IV - Partly Skilled16.8%
V - Unskilled5.6%

Misc:
Own Residence79.3%
Rent Residence19.9%
Own Car(s)61.8%
Submissions
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28/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Tory Nick Hawkins skedaddled away from Blackpool South in '97--and with a less than 1% notional advantage, why not. But his North neighbour Harry Elletson, with a 12-point cushion, stayed put, only to be creamed to the same Blairite tide--and now Labour has a more than *16* point advantage. They've hopes, but as a real threat the Tories are on the brink of looking as quaintly anachronistic as a Blackpool postcard...

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Last Updated 28 May 2001
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