Election Prediction Project
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British General Election
Barrow and Furness

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
John M.P. Hutton
Conservative Party:
James Airey
Liberal Democratic Party:
Barry Rabone

Incumbent:
John Hutton

97 Result:
John Hutton
27,63057.3%
Richard Hunt
13,13327.2%
Anne Metcalfe
4,2648.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,23072.03%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
26,56847.7%
22,99041.3%
6,08910.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,64780.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.7%
16-2412.9%
25-3920.9%
40-6527.4%
65 <19.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.5%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time65.2%
Part Time17.4%
Self Employed7.9%
Government Schemes1.5%
Unemployed8.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.8%
II - Managerial/Technical22.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)38.0%
IV - Partly Skilled15.8%
V - Unskilled4.6%

Misc:
Own Residence78.4%
Rent Residence20.6%
Own Car(s)63.3%
Submissions
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? Daily Telegraph Robert Waller
Barrow and Furness was one of the many seats in which the Conservatives polled more votes than Labour in the June 1999 Euro-elections, albeit on a turnout of only 20.4pc, down 51.6pc on the General election. But the allegiances of this seat of volatile swings can never be taken totally for granted. Barrow is best known for its association with Vickers as a shipbuilding centre and port, and especially with Britain's nuclear submarine force. This defence connection may have helped the Conservatives to win the seat in 1983 and 1987, the years of Thatcher's landslides. By 1997 John Hutton's majority for Labour had increased to 30pc, but this is an independently minded town tucked away beyond the Lake District hills, and it can never be taken entirely for granted.

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Last Updated 12 May 2001
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