Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Jarrow

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Stephen Hepburn
Conservative Party:
Donald Wood
Liberal Democratic Party:
James Selby

Incumbent:
Stephen Hepburn

97 Result:
Stephen Hepburn
28,49764.9%
Mark Allatt
6,56414.9%
Tim Stone
4,86511.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,94268.84%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
29,97862.5%
11,24323.4%
6,74914.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,97073.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.4%
16-2411.9%
25-3921.7%
40-6526.7%
65 <19.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.1%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time61.8%
Part Time15.4%
Self Employed6.1%
Government Schemes2.8%
Unemployed13.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.6%
II - Managerial/Technical21.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)35.1%
IV - Partly Skilled15.2%
V - Unskilled5.1%

Misc:
Own Residence50.9%
Rent Residence47.8%
Own Car(s)50.3%
Submissions
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05/05/01 JR Email:
The town of Jarrow has an enormous and powerful symbolism for the Labour movement. It was the starting point for the famous Jarrow march of the 1930s, when thousands of unemployed men marched all the way to London at the height of the depression to plead for help for this industrial town. Loyalty to Labour runs very deep for Labour; if they can't win here they can't win anywhere.
07/05/01 Pseudonym 'Disraeli' Email:
It would take an act of God to turn this constituency any other colour than red.

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Last Updated 9 May 2001
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