Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Northampton North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Sally C. Keeble
Conservative Party:
John A. Whelan
Liberal Democratic Party:
Richard Church
UK Independence Party:
Dusan K. Torbica

Incumbent:
Ms Sally Keeble

97 Result:
Sally Keeble
27,24752.7%
Tony Marlow
17,24733.4%
Lesley Dunbar
6,57912.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,69870.18%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
21,90538.6%
25,97245.8%
8,63015.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,73977.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.5%
16-2413.5%
25-3922.5%
40-6524.6%
65 <16.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White94.1%
Black2.6%
Indian/Pakistani2.1%
Other non-white1.2%

Employment:
Full Time64.9%
Part Time16.0%
Self Employed9.4%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed8.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.5%
II - Managerial/Technical25.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)31.4%
IV - Partly Skilled16.6%
V - Unskilled4.9%

Misc:
Own Residence67.8%
Rent Residence31.4%
Own Car(s)67.0%
Submissions
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27/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Sally Keeble was one of the star "Blair Babes" in '97, and had no problems conquering this erstwhile Conservative marginal. And given that the seat's bordered by three current Labour googol-marginals with a *collective* 1,120 vote advantage, the Tories are probably too distracted to devote time to this seat with the most razor-thin of *five-figure* majorities (yes, Keeble won with *exactly* 10,000 votes more than the Tories).

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Last Updated 28 May 2001
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