Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
North East Derbyshire

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Harry Barnes
Conservative Party:
James Hollingsworth
Liberal Democratic Party:
Mark Higginbottom

Incumbent:
Harry Barnes

97 Result:
Harry Barnes
31,42560.5%
Simon Elliot
13,10425.2%
Stephen Hardy
7,45014.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,97972.54%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
28,86048.8%
22,59038.2%
7,67513.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,12583.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.2%
16-2412.1%
25-3920.8%
40-6529.4%
65 <18.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.4%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time60.6%
Part Time17.8%
Self Employed10.8%
Government Schemes1.6%
Unemployed9.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.7%
II - Managerial/Technical30.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.1%
IV - Partly Skilled13.9%
V - Unskilled4.9%

Misc:
Own Residence67.8%
Rent Residence30.9%
Own Car(s)71.1%
Submissions
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05/06/01 Christopher J. Currie Email:8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca
I doubt that Labour need worry about this one. Once a Lab-Tory marginal, this one seems safe for the time being.
05/06/01 J.F.Breton Email:
With 60% of the votes in 1997 and all the very good polls for Labours, it will be a very easy win for Labours.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
The mines are gone, gradually overcome by commuter suburbs, but at no real threat to the Labour status quo; Harry Barnes'll bounce back in. Given a constituency hemmed in between Chesterfield and Sheffield, the future-minded Lib Dems might look here with longing--though such promise can scarcely be deduced from the '97 result...

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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