Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Gedling

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Vernon R. Coaker
Conservative Party:
Jonathan Bullock
Liberal Democratic Party:
Anthony Gillam

Incumbent:
Vernon Coaker

97 Result:
Vernon Coaker
24,39046.8%
Andrew Mitchell
20,58839.5%
Ray Poynter
5,1809.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,16475.80%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
19,55434.4%
30,19153.2%
6,86312.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,77681.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.9%
16-2412.2%
25-3921.9%
40-6528.5%
65 <18.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.4%
Black1.0%
Indian/Pakistani0.9%
Other non-white0.7%

Employment:
Full Time64.4%
Part Time17.1%
Self Employed10.7%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed6.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.3%
II - Managerial/Technical32.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.8%
IV - Partly Skilled12.3%
V - Unskilled3.7%

Misc:
Own Residence80.2%
Rent Residence19.0%
Own Car(s)71.2%
Submissions
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14/05/01 Sean Fear Email:fear_sean@hotmail.com
Prior to 1997, this seat (or its predecessor) had only been won by Labour in 1945. Since then, the Conservatives have won back the local council and were ahead in the European elections. They have also picked a very strong candidate, with local roots, in Jonathan Bullock. The Conservatives will get this seat back with a small majority.
02/06/01 s stevens Email:
Gedling has a good MP in Vernon Coaker. He is popular and has been a good constituency MP since 1997. The Tory candidate is an unsavoury and self seeking individual.
03/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
It is fundamentally middle-class seats like this which'll determine, even if in little blibs and blabs, whether the Tories are on the road back in the Midlands & North. (Of course, it certainly might have helped if neighbour Kenneth Clarke was Tory leader...

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Last Updated 7 June 2001
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