Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Broxtowe

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Nicholas D. Palmer
Conservative Party:
Pauline Latham
Liberal Democratic Party:
David Watts

Incumbent:
Dr Nick Palmer

97 Result:
Nick Palmer
27,34347.0%
Jim Lester
21,76837.4%
Terence Miller
6,93411.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,13778.41%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
21,16234.8%
31,03351.0%
8,37813.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
60,86682.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.7%
16-2412.3%
25-3922.6%
40-6528.5%
65 <17.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.5%
Black0.5%
Indian/Pakistani1.2%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time66.5%
Part Time16.4%
Self Employed9.5%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed6.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.5%
II - Managerial/Technical33.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.9%
IV - Partly Skilled13.1%
V - Unskilled3.5%

Misc:
Own Residence78.2%
Rent Residence20.6%
Own Car(s)74.0%
Submissions
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10/04/01 Adam Yoshida Email: adamyoshida@home.com
The Tories take this one back. Even with the redistribution Foot and Mouth will hurt Labour in the Midlands. Only the Labour rush of '97 allowed them to take this one last time around.
17/05/01 SJC Email:
I live in Broxtowe. The LibDems took 5 seats off Labour and one off the Tories in 1999 to become the opposition to Labour on the council. There are many LibDem and Labour posters. The Tory candidate is from Derby (a bit like having a Liverpool fan standing in Everton) and is prone to upset electors when she meets them. There are very, very few Tory posters. I predict a labour hold or even (with a fair wind) a surprise LibDem win. They took nearly 29% of the vote in 1999!
03/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
The Tories weren't counting on the fine citizens of Broxtowe to give them the Boots in '97; but even at their most middle-class, such Northern Labour seats have had a tendency to stay fixed upon gain. If polls are going as they are, Labour has a safe election cushion; but then, the North is the first place to look for signs of a Blair backlash...

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Last Updated 7 June 2001
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