Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Walthamstow

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Neil F. Gerrard
Conservative Party:
Nicholas Boys Smith
Liberal Democratic Party:
Peter G. Dunphy

Incumbent:
Neil Gerrard

97 Result:
Neil Gerrard
25,28763.1%
Jill Andrew
8,13820.3%
Jane Jackson
5,49113.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
40,05562.76%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
21,00144.3%
17,65037.2%
7,48915.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,42571.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.2%
16-2414.1%
25-3927.7%
40-6521.5%
65 <16.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White71.0%
Black11.9%
Indian/Pakistani12.5%
Other non-white4.6%

Employment:
Full Time66.8%
Part Time9.7%
Self Employed8.5%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed13.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.5%
II - Managerial/Technical29.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)20.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)23.9%
IV - Partly Skilled13.2%
V - Unskilled4.2%

Misc:
Own Residence58.5%
Rent Residence40.3%
Own Car(s)53.5%
Submissions
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25/04/01 DH Email:
One of the most perverse results of the 1987 election was the shock Tory victory in Walthamstow - Labour clawed it back in 1992 though and there was a big increase in the Labour vote last time. Neil Gerrard will be safe but should always keep his eyes on the Tories.
26/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
It seemed like the end of an era when in 1987 Labour lost this traditional East End fiefdom which had once been represented by Clement Attlee. In actual fact it was more of a protest vote against the local Labour council which whacked up local taxes just weeks before the general election, and the Labour Party in London, which had come - not without justification - to be seen as dominated by the loony left. Unlike Battersea (which Labour also lost that year) there hasn't been an influx of 'yuppies' and city types dripping with cash, and Tory MP Hugo Summerson was a one-hit wonder, losing his seat in 1992. Walthamstow is once again a Labour stronghold.

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Last Updated 29 April 2001
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