Election Profile:
Candidates:
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Labour Party:
Keith E. Darvill |
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Conservative Party:
Angela Watkinson |
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Liberal Democratic Party:
Peter J. Truesdale |
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UK Independence Party:
Terence P. Murray |
Incumbent: |
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Keith Darvill |
97 Result: |
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Keith Darvil
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Nicholas Bonsor
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Pamela Peskett
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| Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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92 Result: (Redistributed) |
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| Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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Demographic Profile:
| Age: |
| < 16 | 18.9% |
| 16-24 | 12.5% |
| 25-39 | 19.1% |
| 40-65 | 28.4% |
| 65 < | 21.1% |
Ethnic Origin: |
| White | 97.7% |
| Black | 0.6% |
| Indian/Pakistani | 1.0% |
| Other non-white | 0.7% |
Employment: |
| Full Time | 64.3% |
| Part Time | 15.0% |
| Self Employed | 11.9% |
| Government Schemes | 0.8% |
| Unemployed | 8.0% |
Household SEG: |
| I - Professional | 5.5% |
| II - Managerial/Technical | 33.0% |
| III - Skilled (non-manual) | 18.3% |
| IIIM - Skilled (manual) | 26.2% |
| IV - Partly Skilled | 11.0% |
| V - Unskilled | 4.6% |
Misc: |
| Own Residence | 73.6% |
| Rent Residence | 25.3% |
| Own Car(s) | 72.6% |
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Submissions
Submit Information here
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14/05/01 |
Paul Davis |
Email: |
| Local authority results are too old here to have much bearing. If there is one place in the whole of U.K. which will determine whether there really will be another massive Labour landslide, it is the London Borough of Havering. All three seats here looked unwinnable before 1st May 1997. All were won with swings between 15 and 16%. My vital evidence would be 1. This constituency is 97.5% White. It is the type of place where Hague's stictures on asylum seekers and the future of race in U.K. may well play very well. 2. The Labour Vote is very heavily concentrated in the Council Estates to the North. These are the type of "traditional" Labour voters whom (we are constantly told) feel left out of the advantages of "New" Labour. 3.There is an irrelevant Liberal share here. However, the Referendum Party took 5% in 1997. This must have damaged the Tories. If the Conservatives cannot take this one, there will be another landslide. PREDICTION: Conservative Gain. |
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