Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Romford

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Eileen Gordon
Conservative Party:
Andrew R. Rosindell
Liberal Democratic Party:
Nigel L. Meyer
UK Independence Party:
Steven P. Ward

Incumbent:
Mrs Eileen Gordon

97 Result:
Eileen Gordon
18,18743.2%
Michael Neubert
17,53841.6%
Nigel Meyer
3,3417.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
42,11970.66%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
13,39828.3%
27,46258.1%
5,86512.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,27177.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.9%
16-2412.9%
25-3921.5%
40-6528.1%
65 <17.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.5%
Black1.0%
Indian/Pakistani1.4%
Other non-white1.1%

Employment:
Full Time63.9%
Part Time14.8%
Self Employed13.1%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed7.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.8%
II - Managerial/Technical30.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)21.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.1%
IV - Partly Skilled10.8%
V - Unskilled3.8%

Misc:
Own Residence80.5%
Rent Residence18.6%
Own Car(s)75.0%
Submissions
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27/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
An even more treacherous Labour shocker than Upminster amongst their NE London gains, it's now the Tories' top Labour target in London *and* surrounding counties (that is, if one counts out the hairline Kettering-to-Milton Keynes axis).
30/05/01 KF Email:
Hard right-winger Andrew Rosindell represents all that is worrying about the present Tory party but he is a formidable campaigner. He won his council seat in Havering on a swing of over 20% from the Lib Dems in 1990 and now holds it with over 70% of the vote. He was born and bred in Romford and will win here easily.
30/05/01 JI Email:
Thuis seat will see a sizeable swing to the Conservatives and a Tory gain. Theire top target in London, the Tory candidate has lived there his whole life and won a council seat from Labour in 1990 - ten years on, he wins the seat with over 80%b of the vote. Rosindell is demonstrating locally that he is in touch with the gut instincts of the people of Romford, not least in their hostility to all things European.
03/06/01 PSR Email:
I agree that this will be one of the few certain Tory gains-but I'm sure that the people of Romford can't be as unpleasant and Xenophobic as JI suggests.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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