Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Lewisham East

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Bridget T. Prentice
Conservative Party:
David J. McInnes
Liberal Democratic Party:
David C. Buxton

Incumbent:
Ms Bridget Prentice

97 Result:
Bridget Prentice
21,82158.3%
Philip Hollobone
9,69425.9%
David Buxton
4,17811.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
37,40866.41%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
19,63345.4%
18,51042.8%
4,93511.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,27474.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.3%
16-2412.0%
25-3925.6%
40-6523.2%
65 <19.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White85.2%
Black10.2%
Indian/Pakistani1.7%
Other non-white3.0%

Employment:
Full Time65.5%
Part Time10.8%
Self Employed9.6%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed13.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.1%
II - Managerial/Technical34.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)17.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)20.9%
IV - Partly Skilled12.0%
V - Unskilled5.1%

Misc:
Own Residence50.9%
Rent Residence47.8%
Own Car(s)55.4%
Submissions
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13/05/01 LB Email:
Like many other seats which were formerly fiercely contested marginal seats in London Lewisham East should be dull in 2001. Labour have stayed ahead in the mid term elections since 1997 and it was a bit of a surprise that the Conservatives managed to win the seat in 1983 and 1987 - two landslide wins for them. Short of a Tory landslide or some extraordinary local factor (which does not exist this time round) a reasonably safe Labour seat.
14/05/01 Paul Richard Davis Email:
Sociologically and psephologically very similar to next-door Lewisham West, but has shown more volatility in recent years. Conservatives hold only one seat on Lewisham Borough Council out of 67. The Cenre Party vote here (Liberals now:) peaked at 22% in 1983 (then SDP). Labour took 58.3% of the vote here in 1997. Turnout could be low, but Labour will win easily enough.

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Last Updated 14 May 2001
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