Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Kensington and Chelsea

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Simon H.F. Stanley
Conservative Party:
Rt. Hon. Michael D.X. Portillo
Liberal Democratic Party:
Kishwer Falkner
UK Independence Party:
N.R.A. Damian Hockney

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Michael Portillo

97 Result:
Robert Atkinson
10,36828.0%
Alan Clark
19,88753.6%
Robert Woodthorpe
5,66815.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
37,08854.71%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
7,08016.7%
28,97968.2%
5,59013.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
42,50466.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1612.4%
16-2414.5%
25-3929.4%
40-6527.5%
65 <16.2%

Ethnic Origin:
White87.5%
Black2.9%
Indian/Pakistani2.3%
Other non-white7.3%

Employment:
Full Time63.9%
Part Time7.4%
Self Employed17.7%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed10.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional14.4%
II - Managerial/Technical54.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)6.2%
IV - Partly Skilled5.3%
V - Unskilled1.8%

Misc:
Own Residence45.0%
Rent Residence50.8%
Own Car(s)53.7%
Submissions
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08/05/01 LB Email:
Kensington and Chelsea is a hard-line Conservative seat containing the wealthiest areas of London - Sloane Square, Kings Road, Kensington High Street. Michael Portillo held the seat in a by-election in 1999 when the Tories were doing badly and the Conservatives hold all but one of the local council wards. In 1997 Portillo's defeat was the highlight of the evening for many Labour supporters, but it won't happen again in Portillo's new stronghold.
22/05/01 Alastair Matlock Email:
Kensington and Chelsea is THE safest Conservative seat in Great Britain. A loss here would mean the total annihilation of the Conservative Party. Michael Portillo will have absolutely no difficulty winning here at all. Practically anyone could run as a Tory here and be elected.

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Last Updated 23 May 2001
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