Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Ilford North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Linda A. Perham
Conservative Party:
Vivian W.H. Bendall
Liberal Democratic Party:
Gavin Stollar

Incumbent:
Ms Linda Perham

97 Result:
Linda Perham
23,13547.4%
Vivian Bendall
19,91140.8%
Alan Dean
5,04910.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,84571.60%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
15,02729.9%
29,07657.8%
6,17412.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,27774.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.1%
16-2411.9%
25-3921.4%
40-6526.9%
65 <20.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White87.1%
Black2.9%
Indian/Pakistani7.1%
Other non-white3.0%

Employment:
Full Time62.5%
Part Time13.4%
Self Employed15.0%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed8.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.2%
II - Managerial/Technical33.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)20.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.3%
IV - Partly Skilled10.2%
V - Unskilled3.0%

Misc:
Own Residence77.6%
Rent Residence21.3%
Own Car(s)70.6%
Submissions
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13/05/01 JR Email:
Linda Perham was featured on a documentary about new MPs shortly after the last election, and seemed genuinely amazed that she had won. I wouldn't be too surprised if she wins again - even the Tories admit they are doing badly in suburban London. The Tories are running Vivian Bendall, who was an MP from a 1978 byelection until the 1997 rout. Whatever his merits or otherwise as an MP it is difficult for the Tories to project a new image if they are running the same candidates who were rejected by the voters four years ago.

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Last Updated 14 MAy 2001
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